A VC’s notes on CES

Sure, Bill Gates gave a CES keynote, but the buzz on the show floor was all about Steve Jobs.

Jobs’ charisma creates a force field in which an audience believes it’s witnessing innovation even if he’s just showing an incredibly beautiful, elegantly functional “me-too” product. And the great irony is that even from a distance, even with a me-too product, Jobs and his iPhone were still more interesting than almost anything at CES. Apple does great user interfaces • and one of the things cells need badly is a decent user interface.

As for Microsoft’s new operating system, Windows Vista is one large step for Microsoft, one small step for mankind.

Both Vista and Microsoft’s Office Suite offer numerous improvements in appearance and functionality. Software developers will make money selling upgrades to Vista versions of their products. But from a users’ perspective, the improvements are incremental. Nice, but hardly critical.

The most shocking thing at CES was seeing venture capitalists lining up for a chance to get Tasered. This was a demo of the new personal Taser • a consumer version of the stun guns cops use to knock out criminals, but toned down so that instead of leaving CES attendees incapacitated and writhing on the ground, they just lost coordination briefly, wobbling past the throng of people eager to be next. (More here.)

The greatest excitement • and what impressed us the most • was the remarkably high quality of digital video now available on cell phones.

Both Nokia and LG Electronics demo’d DVBH (Digital Video Broadcasting • Handheld); LG was also showing the new LG VX9400 phones running QUALCOMM’s MediaFLO. They plan a roll out with Verizon in Q1, broadcasting real-time digital video over TV spectrum. It looks great.

This points to two opposing trends: a continuing tension between putting as much functionality as possible into a single hand-held device (e.g .cell phones that are also GPS tracking devices, email readers, web browsers, instant message devices, music players, still frame cameras, and video cameras) vs. devices that are highly function-specific, like video cameras that are just… video cameras.

When we’re seeing terrific Nokia cell phones that can capture high quality video, how can camera manufacturers compete? They are pushed to create cameras that aren’t just good, but extraordinary, with capabilities way beyond what’s available on cell phones • higher definition video, better quality audio, 5x zoom. They need to make cameras that aren’t just good, but amazing.

It’s as if MacDonald’s started serving filet mignon to differentiate from Burger King, so now Morton’s needs to serve filet mignon with flaming cherry sauce and green peppers from Madagascar to differentiate from MacDonald’s.

The vibrant mischievousness of the market place, which drives companies to differentiate, simultaneously forces the rapid pace of innovation. And where there is innovation, there are profits to be made.

I ran into Vinod Khosla in the men’s room and asked what he’d seen that was interesting. He said, “I don’t come here in search of specific products. Instead, I come to feel the vibe of the marketplace.” I couldn’t agree more. The pace and the feel of change is what it’s all about. That’s why I come, too: to get a feel for what’s going on. Am I looking for a company to invest in? Probably not. Rather, I’m looking to feel the evolution and discover where gaps are so we can make meaningful technical and financial investments.

That said, one company we liked was GreenPlug, which gave demos not on the show floor but in a hotel suite. GreenPlug is building a universal power adapter, a single brick that simultaneously powers and charges multiple rechargeable devices • cell phone, computer, iPod, electric toothbrush, etc. And it does so in a way that’s significantly more energy efficient than the multiple bricks we currently carry along on business trips. That’s the kind of practical innovation we like to see. It was the only example of green technology at the conference.

At a time when the venture community and the blogosphere seem to obsess on whether Web 2.0 is synonymous with Bubble 2.0, CES rolls along to show us the latest cool stuff that consumers will buy. This is a gizmo show, not a web show, so here, Web 2.0 is peripheral at best. Yes, Virginia, there is a world beyond Web 2.0.

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Photo of Nat Goldhaber

About the Author, Nat Goldhaber

Nat Goldhaber is co-founder and managing director of Claremont Creek Ventures. Previously, Nat was founder and CEO of Cybergold, Inc.

Earlier, Nat was president of Cole Gilburne Goldhaber & Ariyoshi Management, Inc., a venture capital firm focused on high-technology development. Some past investments include: Ask Jeeves, Shiva and Macromedia. Nat was also founding CEO of the Apple-IBM joint venture Kaleida Labs; and co-founder/ CEO of Centram Systems West, which made the TOPS network for Macs and PCs and was acquired by Sun Microsystems.

Prior to his business career, Nat served as Special Assistant to Pennsylvania’s Lt. Governor, William Scranton, III. He ran the state’s Energy Agency as its Interim Director.

  • Carl Johnston
    This is a discovery for me, Nat...and a very pleasant one. Please add my address to your list of fortunate recipients.
    Thanks...
    Carl
  • GreenTech Gaps
    Great fresh write-up on CES! GreenPlug was only green tech at conference?... and we're looking for gaps in market?.... doesn't consumer electronics do carbon footprints?...
  • Enjoyed visiting CES vicariously through you and through phone calls with my brother while sitting here in New Delhi. A "GreenPlug" would have been a nice purchase prior to my departure. Hope Paul got a chance to be tasered.

    Best,
    Mark
  • Should we go to MacWorld, CES or JP Morgan Healthcare next year?
  • Yuri Ammosov
    Wait a minute. How can a video shot on a mini-camera be great if laws of physics make chromatic aberrations inevitable with such a short focus distance? And why is GreenPlug "an innovation" if universal adapters have been around for years and every Taiwanese trade show is full of them, OEM and branded? I have one noname device at home with 4 connectors and full choice of power settings.
  • Let me address your camera question first. Nokia has developed several new models which were on display at CES. Interestingly, each of these models has the same basic functions: phone, Internet and e-mail access, music player, camera and video camera. However, each of these models adds their own specialty. For example, one of the phones has a five megapixel still camera built in which rivals the picture quality of most of the small point-and-click cameras from Nikon, Canon and Casio. One of the Nokia phones has a built-in television receiver with very high quality reception and a great screen. One of the cameras has a built-in GPS with a full, global city map database installed (yeah, I couldn't believe it either but the booth guy demonstrated that the phone has a knowledge of street names all over the world). Finally, the camera I was referring to in my blog has a really excellent video camera which, according to Nokia, provides "DVD quality" video. I didn't have a chance to view this camera's output on a large screen, so I can't personally verify the Nokia claim. However, I can explain how they do it.

    Both this and the Nokia high quality still camera have high-quality optics. I believe it was Carl Zeiss optics. The lens size is relatively large compared to the size of the CCD, so I would guess that it provides approximately an f 2.8 or slightly better at wide-angle. The lens is a five to one optical zoom. The lens sits sideways across the phone and so the distance from the front of the lens to the CCD is the entire height of the phone. I'm pretty sure that that is almost as large a distance between lens and CCD as most dedicated hobbyist Sony video cameras. The screen flips out of the phone and rotates providing a video monitor. And that's how they do it.

    Now, let me tell you about the differences between GreenPlug -- as I saw it -- and offbrand Taiwanese multi-Chargers.

    The entire premise of GreenPlug is -- as the name suggests -- to create an environmentally sound charging device. It is a charger which you never need to replace. This saves on raw materials, shipping, and disposal problems and makes the charger unbelievably convenient. This charger is smart. It shuts itself off completely when it senses that the device is fully charged. This charger auto senses the power demand and appropriate charging cycle for what ever it is plugged into. Finally, this charger uses a special load shaping micro-chip with Power Factor Correction.

    Power factor correction has been mandated by the California energy commission and by a bunch of the other agencies globally which govern energy matters in their respective territories. What it means, essentially, is that the device being charged demands one half the amount of power of a device being charged by today's stupid bricks. In addition to all that, a GreenPlug incorporates a surge suppressor obviating the need for more junk plastic. According to its manufacturer, GreenPlug will come in a bunch of different formats with as few as four and as many as 16 power outlets. I like it, and it makes a pretty good investment premise for a venture capitalist