Comments on: Reader poll: How long will the stock market continue to decline?

By: Use the Economic Slump to Retool for Success

Use the Economic Slump to Retool for Success — Fri, 14 Nov 2008 13:28:31 +0000

[...] Reader poll: How long will the stock market be down? [...]

By: Scott Pollock

Scott Pollock — Fri, 14 Nov 2008 05:17:13 +0000

Based on some extensive research over the years and reviews of some information from a number of experts, my projections are: The market will be down for 12 to 18 months (although we will have good days and bad days along the way), then the market will level off for 6 to 12 months (although again the market will have many up and downs days but overall it will be fairly flat), at this point the market will start a slow but stable increase for a period of 12 to 24 months before we return to the returns as of 1-1-08. My expectations are the market recover will take approximately five years to return to 1-1-08 returns on the Dow.

I also do not think we have seem even half of the bankruptcies and buyouts that will happen over then next 12 months or so. I have spent 25 years reviewing the markets and have been through a few downturns (although this one is definitely different). If you are in a retirement plan and are making ongoing contributions, I would recommend making your existing funds more conservative while keeping your future contributions at a comfortable level of risk that you had before all of this began.

By: ben stecker

ben stecker — Tue, 11 Nov 2008 04:52:34 +0000

the economic downturn of this country is solely based on competetive banking. Banks give loans in hope of turning a profit, But at what point did our greed blind us from safe and reasonable loans. We must take the intiative of living within ourselves and not taking out unreasonable loans. The market will turn around when our fear and greed subside.

By: Confidence in bad times « flowing motion

Confidence in bad times « flowing motion — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 10:38:06 +0000

[...] Reader poll: How long will the stock market be down? Tags: collective efficacy, confidence, growth rate, hope, hopelessness, HR, planning horizon, recession, scenario planning, solidarity, Zimbabwe [...]

By: Margaret Mountains

Margaret Mountains — Mon, 13 Oct 2008 09:04:10 +0000

After 30 seconds, just like my boyfriend.

By: Liem

Liem — Mon, 13 Oct 2008 03:37:21 +0000

MSFT, AAPL, ORCL, and GOOG are overvalued companies will be adjusted accordingly as competition and the correction of market comes into play. If you look at financial statements of these tech companies, their market cap is 2 to 15 times higher than revenue. You don't see that kind of gap in retail and physical product industry.

Convergence will come.

By: Joe

Joe — Sun, 12 Oct 2008 23:00:57 +0000

I'm buying. There are some extremely good values right now. Look at AA, COP, MSFT, etc etc. These are not banks.

By: anon

anon — Sun, 12 Oct 2008 22:13:09 +0000

The wealth that made the Dow 10,000 was fictional. That fiction has been established and it will take real value to get it back up. That takes time.

By: Michael Kassing

Michael Kassing — Sun, 12 Oct 2008 21:50:49 +0000

Within two months the markets will be back to the 10,000 level for the DOW.

And you can take that to the bank (they won't cash it but you can take it)

Michael

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