MobileBeat: Android users will surpass iPhone users by end of 2010

Android users will surpass iPhone users by the end of 2010, according to statistics collected by Google’s Admob ad network, said Admob Team Manager Brendon Kraham. This is despite the fact that the data usage and number of apps on iPhone (and iPod Touch) far exceed those on Android. How can it be then that Android would surpass iPhone?

Leaving aside the two platforms’ comparative strengths and weaknesses, Android would win primarily because of the variety of devices it offers: There are already more than 50 Android devices in the market, and Android is now offered by most mobile operators in the US, whereas iPhone is still only available on the AT&T network in the US. What’s more, iPhone has more or less the same form factor (iPhone 4 being slightly different than earlier iPhones), whereas Android comes in several flavors, sizes, shapes, and prices.

In addition, users who prefer to carry a phone that is not as common (as iPhone for example) are more likely to prefer Android, since their likelihood of finding a “unique” phone on Android platform is much higher.

While iPhone has driven the innovation in the smartphone market, it won’t be long before Android catches up. Whether this happens by the end of 2010 will depend to some degree on whether Apple launches iPhone on Verizon Wireless.

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About the Author,

Saad Fazil is a freelance writer focusing on deep analysis of emerging trends in the industry. He is the founder of Whizner Consulting, a technology strategy consulting firm. Prior to consulting, he held business analyst, product management, and sales consultant positions at Kayak.com, Oracle, and Alcatel. He received his MBA from the MIT Sloan School of Management. He blogs at IT Valley and tweets at @sfrocks.

  • http://www.socialcubix.com Facebook Development

    Exciting news! Would love if Android beats Apple, but I don't see this happening.I'm sure Apple will launch the iPhone on Verizon Wireless sooner or later! I don't think it would just stuck with AT&T considering the network services which Android provide!Thanks.

  • http://www.rickbucich.com Rick Bucich

    Hard to believe. I have an Android phone so always on the lookout for others. Out on the streets and among friends, the iPhone beats it 10-1.

  • http://profiles.yahoo.com/u/DJLFNGOQ3BVFIY3HYGMDQO45LI craigslist p

    Android will win in the End. Even if IPHONE is offered on Verizon. History tells us that exclusivity leads to failure. Apple lost out to PC because the operating system and the hardware were tied together. Windows was available for ever conceivable brand of device. Also, look at AOL. it lost out because it tried to tie the internet to it's own interface, hiding the urls and all that. The isps that allowed freedom won out. So too will be the case with android and iphone. google will collect royalties for android on from every manufacturer and will rake it huge HUGE profits (it may not do so now, but it will soon). At the same time any two bit hardware manufacturer that wants to jump into the game will look at Android because Iphone os is not an option. the future market will probably be 60% android 20% blackberry 20% iphone with a few others here and there. palm will die off… much the same way facebook killed of myspace.

  • http://twitter.com/mlechman Mark Lechman

    As of February 8, 2010, 8,450,420 Android phones had been sold, with various form factors, tech specs, etc. As of February 15, 2010, 41,152,350 iPhones had been sold, with the form factors being fairly similar if not identical between each of the four models. What no one seems to notice is that this consistency has been a big part of the mammoth success of the iPhone. The iPhone, like the iPod before it, has an extensive third-party product ecosystem firmly entrenched in the real world. Go down the aisle of any drug store and tell me the chances of finding dock speakers, cases, screen protectors, charge cables, alarm clocks, etc. for the Droid X or the EVO or the Nexus. Pretty slim. iPhone? Yup, they've got you covered. In fact, everyone has the iPhone covered. I can find a case or a cord for my two-year old iPhone 3G in the smallest gas station in the most obscure town on the map. Want a case with a built-in battery-pack for your Android phone? You think Target is going to carry one for every model from each manufacturer, each with it's own button, speaker, microphone, camera, etc. placement? Not likely. Why would they want to get stuck guessing which of the multitudes of Android phones is the best one to support when all they have to do is support the iPhone in order to get a guaranteed return on their investment? Plus, since the form factors of the iPhones don't change that much, they can be sure that the screen protector they've been selling for the 3G will probably fit the 3GS as well, extending that product's shelf life. It's just a more stable and sensible investment. Consistency. Google, on the other hand, has created a fragmented and ever-changing market that will have tremendous difficulty in gaining the consumer foothold that the iPhone enjoys simply because of the vast myriad of phones available that run their OS. Most of the people I know who own an iPhone don't care if brand X has 2 more megapixels in their cameras than brand Y, or that brand Q has a more “open” app store model than brand Z. What they care about is that vast ecosystem of iPhone accessories and enhancements that sit on the shelves of every Target, Wal-Mart and CVS location in America that make them feel safe, sound and secure about the $100 or $200 they just plunked down for a phone.

  • http://www.zco.com/custom-software-development.aspx Custom Software Development

    Yep! There is no doubt in that. Android is becoming more popular nowadays.

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