Is Groupon worth $25B? (Poll)

Daily deals giant Groupon might be in talks with several banks to file for an initial public offering later this year that would value the company at $25 billion, according to sources familiar with the discussions.

Groupon works with local businesses to offer steep discounts — sometimes anywhere from 50 to 90 percent. For example, it offered a year’s subscription to car-sharing service Zipcar along with $30 in driving credit for $30 — down from the typical cost of around $115.

The business model has proven it works well. Groupon’s success has inspired a number of “me-too” companies that focus on daily deals. Savings.com, for example, launched at the Launch Conference in San Francisco last month and aggregates a large number of deals from multiple sites. But none are more compelling than LivingSocial, which raised $175 million from online retailer Amazon.com in December.

It was clear that Groupon had its eyes set on going public after it spurned a $6 billion buyout offer from Google. The company said it expanded from 1 to 35 countries and grew from 2 million to more than 50 million subscribers in the past year when it announced its most recent funding round.

The daily deal site recently raised nearly $1 billion in a funding round closed in January. The site is backed by venture capital titans like Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, Andreessen-Horowitz and Greylock Partners. The most recent funding round valued Groupon at roughly $4.75 billion. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have spoken with Groupon about taking the company public at a valuation of $15 billion, according to the Bloomberg report.

Is Groupon worth $25 billion?customer surveys

  • http://www.groupon-off.com Carl Ruzycki

    Just don't understand why a company with a flawed business plan, nothing unique or secret sauce and cloned by thousands worldwide justifies a $25 B valuation. Groupon is turning the retail sales market upside. If buyers demand 50% off everything driven by the Groupon business model, how will merchants stay in business, especially product sales merchants? If the number of merchants doing groupons fall off due to lower profits, becoming victims of the 50% off groupon mindset and the buyers stop buying because of limited discretionary spending, where do future revenues come from. If one analyzes the Groupon business model, it looks a lot like an over-hyped Ponzi Scheme.

  • Leland

    Yea, the 50% discount thing is unsustainable. Perhaps groupon should realize that in terms of psychology, a 1% discount vs a 0% discount is HUGE… out of 100 people, nearly all would go to the 1% discount resteraunt instead of the 0% discount one simply because “there is a discount”. Funny how our minds work, no?

  • http://diggingellen.wordpress.com/ Ellen

    I don't think it's realistic to argue that Groupon is unsustainable because a 50% discount on everything is going to sink companies. The Groupons are only offering as much of a discount as the companies allow, and often the discount (say $40 for $100 worth of custom framing) isn't large enough for customers to get a $100 picture for $40, they end up getting a $60 discount off a $300 framing job, which isn't a discount that is out of whack with what the company would normally be offering in a cash-poor month. Plus, Groupons introduce customers to places they find they enjoy and that they then return to when a Groupon is not being offered.This app sounds like the same theory on a larger scale – keep bringing people in the door during slow times, eliminate times when a restaurant is paying overhead, a waitstaff, and kitchen crew to sit around with little to do.

  • http://twitter.com/Aerocanthus Not My Real Name *TM

    so nice someone else was awake in Econ class too !!! so does this mean Val-Pak esque snail spam are worth billions too???

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