Rocky Agrawal is an analyst focused on the intersection of local, social and mobile. He is a principal analyst at reDesign mobile. Previously, he launched local and mobile products for Microsoft and AOL. He blogs at http://blog.agrawals.org; and tweets at @rakeshlobster.

 

Disclosures: In the interest of full disclosure, I will be posting any trades or interests I have in/against companies that I may write about. Note that I update this list periodically; I tweet trades in near real time.

  • Short: I have a wager with Reuters’ finance columnist Felix Salmon that runs until 10/31/2012. Details of the wager are on Felix’s tumblr.
  • Short: I have a wager with Semil Shah that runs until 12/31/2012. The bet is based on Groupon’s market capitalization at the close of trade on 12/31/2012. If Groupon is worth less than $6 billion, Semil buys me dinner at the place of my choice in SF. $6 billion or more and I buy dinner at a place of Semil’s choice.
  • 4/4/12 Short: I purchased Jan 2013 puts at $10. Frankly, I doubt I will have to wait that long.
  • 4/5/12 PUT (GRPN) GROUPON INC COM JUL 21 12 $10
  • 4/5/12 Short: I have a bet with Mark Rogowsky that Groupon goes to zero by 4/5/13. I can claim early if it is delisted for being worthless. If it’s delisted for some other technicality, bet continues. Stakes: Dinner at the winner’s preferred place.
  • 4/9/12 Short: PUT (GRPN) GROUPON INC COM JUL 21 12 $10
  • 4/10/12 Long: $AXP
  • 4/10/12 Short: $BBY
  • 4/18/12 Short: $GRPN I have bet with Paul Kedrosky that $GRPN will fall below $6 billion on or before June 3.
  • 4/19/12 Short: $SFLY
  • 4/20/12 Short: $JIVE

stories by Rocky Agrawal

Thompson needs to go as Yahoo’s CEO

Yahoo CEO Scott Thompson’s latest explanations don’t cut it. He needs to go.

According to Business Insider, he told Yahoo employees that the errors on his bios were not his fault — he didn’t submit a resume to Yahoo, some …

Doing deals the right way

I’ve voiced quite a bit of opposition to the daily deals industry, but that doesn’t mean I’m opposed to discounting in general. Discounting can be an important part of the marketing mix, especially for encouraging trials.

What I’m opposed to …

My role in the Groupon story

Recently, people have questioned my motivations around writing about Groupon. They have tried to insinuate that I’m writing about Groupon for personal financial gain.

Anyone who believes that doesn’t know the first thing about how financial markets work. I have …

Why Groupon Now won’t work

In Andrew Mason's recent letter to shareholders and in a press release touting 1.5 million Groupon Now deals sold, Groupon has been highlighting the product as an example of innovation and a potential positive for the beleaguered company.

Why Andrew Mason is still wrong about Groupon’s prospects

After an accounting restatement, a shuffling of its board of directors and Groupon's stock falling to below 50 percent of its initial public offering price (and 66 percent off the high it reached on its first day of trading), Groupon CEO Andrew Mason wrote a letter to shareholders yesterday to try to swing the momentum back in the company's favor.

Why Yelp is the Digg of local

The other day, I tweeted “I should be able to ban anyone who rates Applebee’s 4* from ever influencing a Yelp result for me.” That sentiment touched a nerve among my followers. Shervin Pishevar of Menlo Ventures coined it “ …

Chicago Tribune talks to Groupon chairman Lefkofsky; asks the wrong questions

In the midst of all the turmoil of Groupon, which is now trading at a market cap below $8 billion and broke below the $12 mark in trading today, the company's hometown newspaper had a sitdown with Groupon chairman Eric Lefkofsky. As a former journalist who once aspired to work at the Tribune, I'm embarrassed for them.