Facebook is growing quickly, adding between 100,000 and 150,000 new users per day, the company tells us, with the highest growth rates coming from abroad.
Particularly noteworthy is its traction in Canada, where it has more than 2 million active users, around 11 percent of the site’s total. A remarkable 20 to 25 percent of Toronto’s population is using Facebook, with more than 500,000 users. Ontario even banned the site in governmental workplaces because it was so distracting. Growth rates are several times higher outside the U.S. than in it.
The break-neck growth shines a spotlight on two challenges possibly at odds with each other. The first is pragmatic: find more ways to monetize, possibly with an eye to go public. The latest example of Facebook’s efforts here is Marketplace, its classified-ads service. The second strategy is more exploratory, but more exciting: provide a user’s “social context,” such as a list of their personal interests, their friends and groups to other sites and applications. This creates an online social ecosystem of sites offering any number of services.
The company has been working towards the latter goal since last August via Platform, its API (application programming interface). However, the launch of Marketplace is in direct competition with a number of startups using Platform. The danger the company now faces is scaring off companies, especially startups, that are considering it as the way to tap into the site’s ever-expanding user base.
What happens in Facebook… happens everywhere
There was no single factor that led to the “tipping point” in Canada, the company said. This appears to be a snowball effect, which started on US college campuses in 2004. The more people join, the more relevance the site has for non-users.
The U.K. is second behind Canada, in terms of growth, with more than 1 million users. The next most prominent countries are, in order: Norway, Australia, South Africa, Lebanon, Egypt and India. An Egyptian newspaper, for example, says that the site has “caught on in Egypt because it provides more privacy, allowing users to control their settings” so only their friends can see their data.
As we’ve already noted, growth has been happening across demographics. In the US, however, the site is still disproportionately popular among college students, according to Compete. And while Facebook and Myspace are both growing fast around the world, Facebook’s growth rate is faster. Here’s the latest data from Comscore:
Unique Visitors (000)
WORLDWIDE Jan-07 | Feb-07 | Mar-07
Total Internet : Total Audience 746,934 | 739,835 | 762,736
MYSPACE.COM 94,769 | 98,509 | 106,935
FACEBOOK.COM 24,840 | 24,782 | 32,115
NON-U.S. (International) Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07
Total Internet : Total Audience 593,488 | 585,634 | 602,762
MYSPACE.COM 35,983 | 38,058 | 44,874
FACEBOOK.COM 6,727 | 8,400 | 12,294
Increasingly, the company’s decisions about how to monetize will have ramifications for potential partner sites everywhere.
From tipping point to balancing act
Meanwhile, Facebook continues to focus on the “Platform” API as a driver of growth. An ecosystem of sites using this has slowly formed, providing a variety of entertaining pastimes, such as being able to check out cute members of your peer group. Another example could be if Facebook were to incorporate Netflix data into profile pages so that you could see which movies people have rented “to facilitate borrowing.” Interesting: That’d let me borrow a Netflix video from a friend without actually getting it from Netflix :) Other lucrative niches may be found, such as a mash-up of ticket sales for events on Facebook, creating a sort of StubHub (a focused site that did so well that eBay was forced to buy them). However Harjeet Taggar, co-founder of competing classifieds site Boso.com, wonders how many of these areas will bring money: “Once you start getting into niches of niches you’re getting further away from big business.”
Notably, Oodle, a classifieds-ads startup, also integrated its services with Facebook — just a few days before Facebook launched its own Marketplace. Like Marketplace, Oodle enables people to share postings with a friend and to see who else in their group has something available.
Indeed, companies considering building on Platform will need to be reassured by Facebook that it won’t try to wipe them out of business. That’s just one part of the challenge to manage its brand as it grows. One pundit, Donna Bogatin at ZDNet, recently ripped that “Facebook stood for something, once,” an online extension of college campuses “by and for the students.” Now, she said, “it stands for what’s best for Facebook: unlimited demographic diversification and commercialization…” while still clinging to its college-kid image. Its continued success indicates that most people don’t think that, or don’t care. Like Google and MySpace, critics will emerge, but as it keeps offering a useful service, the larger user base stays loyal.
And we’ll be learning more about Platform pretty soon here. Facebook is hosting an event next week officially titled “F8: Facebook Platform Launch.” F8. Get it?
Fate.
[Author Eric Eldon thought he was going to become a professional journalist when he graduated from college two years ago. Instead, he is co-founder of Writewith, a company that makes online word processing work for groups. You can reach him at eric@writewith.com.]
Tags: Facebook7 Comments
-
Rex Dixon said:
Usually I don’t follow, but in the case of Facebook, I did. I waited, watched, and yes, finally you can even find yours truly Rex Dixon on Facebook. :)
Rex
-
P-Air said:
Much like MySpace widgets, I fear that developers working w/the Facebook’s Platform will in effect be no more than an R&D effort for Facebook to see what works and what doesn’t so they can build it themselves and monetize it. Afterall, why shouldn’t they be the beneficiaries of revenue generating opportunities on their site? It’s a good strategy since most scrappy start-ups are happy to have access to their user base for exporing new applications, and if they stay under the radar long enough they may each just build enough momentum to get some of the users to remain loyal to their service. Widget developers who count on placing those on MySpace, do so w/similar risk. These ecosystems make for nice talk, but are generally quite risky.
-
Anil said:
I had written about the same Canadian phenomena and tipping point effect yesterday - http://adharni.wordpress.com/2007/05/18/facebook-rocks-canada/.
Good analysis. I think they are still figuring out their Platform & monetization pieces.
On reading the FB blog, my impression was that Facebook itself is not sure why exactly it has taken off in Canada. The factors they mention make sense but somehow it seems it was more of a perfect storm of sorts. The real magic will be can they repeat it now in other lucrative markets?
Also, just because it takes off in a metro doesnt really mean that it will take off in the entire country. There are more micro-regional factors in play here. Lets see if FB does equally well in Vancouver.
-
dan said:
face book is killing canada no doubt
I have yet to meet a student or anyone under 21 that doesnt use on.Every computer lab i got too, everyone has facebook open and I’ve heard just as many conversations about fb addictions as i do about crackberries at my corporate job.
-
Dave said:
Sometimes I worry about Facebook. I don’t know a lot of people who are sending those $1 gifts or buying flyer space. The ads get in the way, despite their being micro-targeted to your profile.
I’m sure they’ll eventually hit on something. Even after they pissed off well over half their users with the news feeds “scandal”, we all knew that despite the uproar we weren’t going anywhere. Now that’s brand loyalty!
-
Karel Baloun said:
I wrote “Inside Facebook” (www.fbbook.com) based on my year as an engineer inside facebook, and I strongly agree that there is a tipping point effect in social networks that secures ongoing use. It would be just as hard to displace facebook in colleges as it would be to display the yellow pages in business or google in search - not impossible but difficult. This is not true of myspace, because they do not dominate in any niche.. they have broadly diffused usage, which is less defensible, and less valuable.
I’m a strong believer in niche social applications, which is why after leaving Facebook I’m building PTrades, a social site for commodity traders, and I’ll certainly implement F8 for any members on the site who are FB users, because it lets my application benefit from all of the personal information stored at facebook.
-
Amanda McCuaig said:
I definitely noticed the facebook ‘tip’ earlier this spring, when my four closest friends all stopped using myspace and I was forced to join facebook to keep in touch with them when I moved across the country (from Vancouver to Toronto).
I resisted for quite awhile, fearful of its newsfeed, but once I discovered you could limit your profile AND there wasn’t massive corportization (yet) I willingly joined. Myspace, which I had been faithfully addicted to for the previous year, just got too many ads. But even since joining facebook two months ago I’m becoming skeptical of how long I can use it as a communication haven safe from advertisement — it will be interesting to see if (or for how long) the Marketplace stays in the hands of actual facebook users.

6 Trackbacks
12:35 pm
blackrimglasses.com » Blog Archive » VentureBeat » Facebook growing, but more roadkill coming? said:
[...] VentureBeat » Facebook growing, but more roadkill coming?: its safe to say that Platform creates an open ecosystem, but its also safe to say that that ecosystem includes Facebook itself. The best stuff coming out of f8, will hopefully not just be widgets, but true integration with external services. See you all next week. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site. [...]
1:20 pm
Deep Jive Interests » Facebook in Toronto: A Hearty Welcome To Our New Overlords! said:
[...] Hearty Welcome To Our New Overlords! May 18th, 2007 at 4:19 pm Some interesting stats, courtesy of VentureBeat about Facebook’s usage. As some of you may or may not, know I’m from Toronto, Canada, where Facebook’s [...]
2:29 pm
links for 2007-05-20 « Rost in de branding said:
[...] VentureBeat » Facebook growing, but more roadkill coming? (tags: socialnetworking facebook api) [...]
5:14 pm
Elbow Grease : FaceBook reaches the tipping point in Australia said:
[...] Edwards Twittering about an impending Canada-style FaceBook explosion in Australia, and VentureBeat claiming that Australia is FaceBook’s third biggest growth market after Canada and Norway. Wow! So how [...]
4:33 pm
VentureBeat » We’re covering Facebook Platform… said:
[...] we’ve been writing about the growing influence of its Platform, and how Facebook is expanding rapidly around the world and across [...]
9:22 am
VentureBeat » Oodle releases upgraded classified search said:
[...] a half a million new listings every day from 80,000 sources — from ads on newspaper sites to ads on Facebook. It is getting over two million unique visitors each month, and is available in the U.S., Canada [...]