Silicon Valley: If we ignore China, will it go away?

[Editor's note: This is an Op-Ed piece by Rebecca A. Fannin, author of "Silicon Dragon-How China is Winning the Tech Race," and the international editor at the Asian Venture Capital Journal. She is the former international news editor at Red Herring. Her work also has been published in Worth, Inc. and Fast Company.]

It’s sad but true. Silicon Valley has its blinders on when it comes to China tech entrepreneurship. How do I know this? I’m here in the Valley this summer after several months in Asia’s major business capitals, where I’ve been preaching the theme of an emerging Silicon Dragon in China. From Hong Kong to Singapore to Tokyo to Beijing and Sydney, they get it. But here in the Valley, there’s push back to the idea that China poses a threat to the Valley’s continued tech dominance.

It took me a while to realize why. The Valley really is threatened and, rather than confront the challenge, prefers to remain in a state of denial. It’s easier in the short term.

The questions I’m asked here in the Valley mostly center on Chinese government politics, Internet censorship, counterfeiting, and pollution. Sure, these are big issues, but there’s very little curiosity about what new technologies are being developed in China. It’s just a given that there really aren’t any, so why bother asking?

Yet China has the fastest growing venture capital market in the world and the highest growth of new patent applications globally, too. China –- the nation that gave us the abacus, silks, paper and gunpowder — ranks eighth in the world for new patents, and is headed for third place internationally -– right behind the U.S. and Japan — for the most new patents.

The innovations are coming in mobile communications and the internet, where China has the largest markets worldwide, but also in cleantech, biotech and basic R&D. Dozens of home-grown Chinese companies have gone public in the U.S. as well, and with large market caps.

On Friday, the New York Times took note and wrote about the trend.

The Bay Area is the optimistic capital of the world, but sometimes we have to face harsh realities. Jerry Yang of Yahoo is. He told me he thinks it will only be one decade before China begins to rival the West for tech leadership. Leading venture investors such as David Chao of DCM, who has a rare east-west perspective, believes we’ve already seen several Steve Jobs-like characters in China. Joe Chen, who runs the Facebook of China -– Xiaonei.com –- is one he names. Fan Zhang of Sequoia Capital China observes that Chinese entrepreneurs are very quickly moving from copycats of successful U.S. technologies to inventors. Jim Breyer of Accel says the Chinese entrepreneurs make their U.S. counterparts look like they need to be on steroids to compete.

These thought leaders understand that the next, new thing might NOT come from the Valley. Yet, the Valley prefers to largely ignore this important trend. At two major technology conferences here in the Valley in late July, I observed that neither one had more than a bare mention of what’s going on across the Pacific. But there was a lot of talk about Twitter and the iPhone. This is even more surprising when you consider what a creative force so many China-born engineers have had in helping to develop our leading tech brands.

You have to be a futurist to believe that China could be developing from a low-cost manufacturer to a high-tech inventor. In fact, the most responsive audience I’ve had so far was in Columbus, Ohio, where I spoke to a group of futurists! As I head for Beijing and the Olympics this week, I can’t help but think this fast emerging tech trend in China is a wake-up call for the Valley.

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About the Author, Rebecca A. Fannin

Rebecca A. Fannin is the author of "Silicon Dragon-How China is Winning the Tech Race," and the international editor at the Asian Venture Capital Journal. She is the former international news editor at Red Herring. Her work also has been published in Worth, Inc. and Fast Company.

  • China has been emerging for the last 5-10 years. There is certainly something to be said about the investment potential in the technology industry out of China. However, it is not so clean and clear cut.

    "The questions I’m asked here in the Valley mostly center on Chinese government politics, Internet censorship, counterfeiting, and pollution. Sure, these are big issues, but there’s very little curiosity about what new technologies are being developed in China." - I think you may be underestimating the ability of a conservative government coupled with a culture that promotes things very different than what we call "creative processes" here in the valley to stifle the kind of creative destruction that occurs out here. for better or for worse(not a judgment).

    "The Bay Area is the optimistic capital of the world, but sometimes we have to face harsh realities. Jerry Yang of Yahoo is. He told me he thinks it will only be one decade before China begins to rival the West for tech leadership." This is not a zero-sum game, so lets not treat it like one with statements like "leaders and followers" or "winners and losers."

    That said, there is a ton of potential in China for growth and new ventures, but it is not a matter of West vs. East, which I know is a very sexy journalistic topic. I'd challenge journalists to discuss and report on the growth in the tech space on china in and of its own right, rather than a deathmatch between The Valley and China. Therefore not requiring us to drink the kool-aid being served without choking on it. Can China truly adopt the creative processes so well documented in the HBR? That's a question yet to be answered.

    Furthermore, the US and the Valley has more pressing issues to deal with than a bout for the title of "The Sexiest Techtopia," our economy. I think you have some good information here, but the sensationalist spin is where you lost me.
  • I agree with Warren. You lost me on the sensationalist spin. I doubt the Valley is ignoring China because so much money is being poured into that market from here.

    Also technology is only one component to creating an innovation engine such as Silicon Valley. I know many startups in China are having difficulty in finding managerial talent. From the middle to the exec level, it's just not there in China and will take at least a decade or longer to develop. And the home-grown VC industry will take longer to be on par with Silicon Valley before China becomes a serious "threat" as you state.
  • Jojo
    Just came across this link tonight in a blog I follow. Maybe useful for others interested in China world.

    Chinese Economy:
    http://metapress.com/content/110901/
  • Rebecca, hi, looking forward to seeing you when you get to Beijing. By the way, the founder of the "Facebook of China" you're talking about -- the company's called Xiaonei, not Xunlei (Xunlei is the download accelerator-cum-P2P VOD that Google invested in) -- is actually a guy named Wang Xing, not Joe Chen. Joe's company, Oak Pacific Interactive, acquired Xiaonei after it was already up and running and doing modestly well. They merged their own campus-based SNS, called 5Q, into it under the Xiaonei name, and kept the very Facebook-like interface. Hardly a good case to cite as an example of Chinese innovation, I might add...

    Obviously you're correct that one shouldn't ignore China, but I think overstating the case for disruptive technologies emerging near-term from China is dangerous too. (Considering how much Sand Hill money is funding the companies you talk about in the book and in this piece, it's actually hard for me to accept the argument that the Valley's ignoring China at all!).

    I've seen some innovative stuff, sure, but it's infrequent that I run across anything I'd call truly groundbreaking. China's tech centers -- Zhongguancun in Beijing, mainly -- are still dwarfed by the Valley or Israel in terms of the kind of "quantum" (as opposed to incremental) innovation. Part of that is because it's easier to get funded, especially by a big-name VC, if you pitch an idea as "We're the (fill in name of famous US Web startup) of China." It's easier to do than explaining the whole bizarre topography of the Chinese Internet landscape to impatient, very busy investors. But the low-hanging, C2C (which here means "copy-to-China" model) fruit has been largely picked clean, and I'm hopeful that investors will start reaching up into higher branches where the more difficult-to-grasp stuff hangs unpicked.
  • Kaiser, thanks. Rebecca just sent in the correction on Joe, so we've updated.
  • Hey Kaiser, Nice to see you here in Beijing.
    Let me add that anyone who wants to find out more about those two X Chinese companies should read chapters 1 and 4 of my book. And let me point out that my own publication, AVCJ, has statistics showing that venture capitalists invested $9 billion in China during 2007.
    I agree that we've already moved past the copycat stage to an era of emerging technologies in China. That's the premise of my book! It's why so many venture capitalists are investing considerable resources in China to unearth those hard-to-find gems.
    What I worry about is whether this arrogance and complacency I describe will cause the U.S. to lose its tech leadership. Anyway, what ground-breaking stuff is coming from the U.S. now? Are Twitter and Facebook really worth all the hype? That's what gets most of the attention in the Valley.
    I look forward to continuing the dialogue, and hope to see you in the Valley!
  • Nice piece. Just as we are moving into a post-American World (Zakaria), we are also moving into a post-Silicon Valley world in tech. I think that appealing to "greed" (huge global opportunities) may be more effective than "fear". But agree in general with your premise.
  • While China is filled with smart people with great technology skills it is hard to see the point of this type of "watch your back" kind of reporting. It is perfectly fine of some of the best ideas of how to advance the global economy come from other places, not just China, but Korea, Eastern Europe and Africa all have great thinkers that should be enabled to contribute.

    The western tendency, especially the Anglo-Saxon perspective of believing that everything good must come from their womb is insulting and unhelpful. I remember similar smear campaigns about the Russians and the Japanese, including the xenophobic Rising Sun.

    This is only one purpose to a dialog along these lines, to sell books and inspire our non-thinking politicians into protective legislation that is sure to fail.

    As far a a wake up call to the Valley, if the 2001 meltdown didn't wake everyone one up then they must be dead, once again the only enemy can be found in the self involved image in the mirror.
  • Chris
    Just curious, of those new patent applications from China, how many are design patents and how many are utility patents, and how does this compare to the ratio coming from the US and Japan? Where are the patents from China being filed? The fact that there are a lot of patents applications coming out of China doesn't really mean anything without more context.
  • Pat O
    They certainly have done wonders with lead paint. Oh, and the innovation of mixing anti-freeze with pet food, brilliant! Can't wait to see what China comes up next!
  • Andrew_Johnston
    Rebecca:

    Thank you for this all-too-brief post. I have been following your writing for some time, and enjoy your insights.

    As someone with solid (but not high-level) ties in the China VC industry, I take your comments very seriously. I know about the innovation levels and support for innovation in some industries like clean tech, and also strongly believe that it is just a matter of time before people begin to see the fruits of the 15 years of development and investment.

    Looking forward to your next post!
  • futurevisionaries
    We need To look at the people Indivdual
    Ideas . I saw this years ago people Ideas and the Global Value of the word FUTURE means hope in any language
    12 Years of my life and ideas To this global cause to see all beenfit by the world word FUTURE . people ideas are the product all iv been is ... wars .. I am looking for business partners see my web page is www.futurevisionaries.com
  • edhardy622
    British law student sues Abercrombie-Fitch for disability discrimination.
    http://www.abercrombieonsale.co.uk