More details on Sequoia’s economic “inconvenient truth” meeting

Updated

Sequoia Capital, a premier Silicon Valley venture firm, held a meeting on Tuesday during which it told its portfolio companies to cut costs and prepare for an economic downturn that could last many years.

The presentation, one attendee tells me, was like the global warming wake-up call movie “An Inconvenient Truth.” But instead of Al Gore running through a bunch of slides about the environment, it was billionaire investors running through a bunch of slides about a “very cataclysmic” economic future.

Here are presentation excerpts and comments drawn from a leak posted on GigaOm and left in comments on Silicon Alley Insider. Our sources have confirmed their accuracy.

Mike Moritz, General Partner, Sequoia Capital:

  • “We’re talking survival. Get this point into your heads.”
  • Companies need to be cash-flow positive, if nothing else in order to justify additional funding

Eric Upin, Partner, Sequoia Capital, formerly ran Stanford University’s $26 billion endowment fund:

  • This could be at least a 15-year downward cycle, judging by historical trends; the credit market will take a long time to recover
  • Startups need to deeply cut expenses, and throw out existing projections

Michael Beckwith, Partner, Sequoia Capital:

  • A dramatic recovery is unlikely
  • Spending cuts will accelerate through this quarter and into next year
  • Only lean companies with proven sales models will be acquisition targets

Doug Leone, General Partner, Sequoia Capital

  • Get aggressive with public relations communication strategies; cut marketing that doesn’t work
  • Offer a product that reduces expenses and drives revenue
  • Preserve capital over trying to gain market share
  • Begin with zero-based budgeting to help prioritize necessary expenses
  • Have at least one year’s worth of cash available
  • Reduce expenses around products and boost sales; if product is ready, cut engineers (wow)
  • Build essential product features first
  • Reward salespeople based on commission, not base salaries

The final point: Get real or go home

Also, if anyone has a copy of the actual Sequoia presentation that they’d like to send over: eric (at) venturebeat (dot) com. Update: Here’s the presentation.

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About the Author, Eric Eldon

Eric currently covers digital media technology and business news, especially what's happening on social networks and their platforms. He also writes and edits stories about venture capital, and lots of other stuff, too. He started at VentureBeat in the spring of 2007, half a year or so after Matt Marshall left his reporting job at the San Jose Mercury News to found the site. Eric previously cofounded a startup called Writewith, that was building editorial software for newspapers and other groups of writers. The startup didn't work out, but he learned a lot.

  • Stephen
    Eric Upin, Partner, Sequoia Capital said (based on venture post)

    ......."This could be at least a 15-year downward cycle.............

    COMPLETELY IRRESPONSIBLE!!! There are a shit load of people around the globe trying to figure out what is going to happen tomorrow; and this guy is calling for a 15 downward trend. I'll say it again. Sequoia should not charge any management fees since they are predicting a limited environment for investing.
  • Stephen, a lot of economists agree with Upin's assessment. I'll be writing more on that, soon.
  • Abbey
    Stephen, get a grip.
  • Margaret Mountains
    Eric Upin. What a dipshit. Sequoia is so emotional, I'm blushing.
  • Oh my God! I did not know the warning was THAT bad.

    I really have to say that MarkTend is in the middle of a public launch and we designed to do everything that they are telling startups to do. It just makes good business sense to limit your startup funds and focus on delivering value. Sure it would be easier to have a huge marketing budget but would come at a detriment to the core of the business. A company that gets use to having unlimited funds can never retract (look at the State and Federal governments). When you start small you remember your roots.

    Here is to the bootstrapers that deliver value and solve pain.

    Michael Kassing
    MarkTend.com
  • Michael,

    I like where you're going with MarkTend. Could you please get in touch with me at allan [at] allantyoung [dot] com?
  • seriously, who the fuck can predict 5 years ahead, much less 15?

    while i won't second-guess Sequoia's take on the future, anyone who claims they have the inside track on the next "15-year downward cycle" has their head up their ass.

    sorry, i don't buy it.

    conserve cash? -- sure.
    find a business model? -- you bet.
    plan for negative outcomes over the next 15 years? -- write a friggin' Tom Clancy screenplay.
  • Dave - Tell me about it - anyone who can predict that with any level of confidence shouldn't be in venture capital. He should be running a hedge fund and leveraging the hell out of that prediction.

    The smartest guys always say the don't know what will happen next so assume for the worst and be adaptive.
  • The financial power of the world will move from US to Asia (India, China) and Middle East?
    Like it happened in 1873 during a similar depression caused by housing in Europe, then financial power shifted from Europe to US.
    The crisis of 1873 http://tinyurl.com/3el9oz
    More info on Wikipedia
  • Second Life
    Funny: "don't continue to waste our money, please!" Isn't this what a startup should do to survive in any market? Probably evidence that Sequioa is investing heavily in Web 2.0 et al which is predicated on an inflated (bubble) vision of the total value of internet advertising.
  • Jim Coughlin
    Over the long term there will be recovery - although - over the long term we'll also all be dead.

    "Hunker Down" is what I get from all this.
  • edhardy622
    British law student sues Abercrombie-Fitch for disability discrimination.
    http://www.abercrombieshop.us